# Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 50% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 21:54:10 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $337.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28-spread-home-3pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28-spread-home-3pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T21:54:10.136Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **50¢** (50%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $337.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $368.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $668.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 4 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 80,000 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 50,000 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 32,911.152 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 29,078 shares
- `0xea97…c69a` — 11,400.64 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc1cd…392e` — 98,405.48 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 55,228.19 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 17,338 shares
- `0xe907…cff6` — 17,104.982 shares
- `0xf421…cff4` — 15,600 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 42 |
| Window start | 2026-05-27T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T21:54:04.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28-spread-home-3pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Spurs (-3.5) — 50% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T21:54:10.136Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28-spread-home-3pt5.
```

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