# Thunder vs. Spurs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 44% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 06:50:07 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $23.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T06:50:07.785Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **44¢** (44%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $23.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $27.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $103.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30PM ET:
> If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 42h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1610…ae49` — 99,999.889 shares
- `0x41f4…3eac` — 25,376.11 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 13,881.32 shares
- `0x3ff4…7ebb` — 5,952.381 shares
- `0x1418…6fef` — 4,381.121 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xacb2…b989` — 50,000 shares
- `0x47bc…9504` — 39,000 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 20,432.281 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 17,222.559 shares
- `0x68ca…9f73` — 13,999.97 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 123 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T06:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 42¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -8.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Spurs — 44% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T06:50:07.785Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-28.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*