# Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 20:25:01 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $386.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-201pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-201pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T20:25:01.601Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | -14.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $386.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $386.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $12.6K |
| Spread | 3.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Pistons combine to score 202 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 202, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa2cc…0cbc` — 119,999.975 shares
- `0xce9d…f402` — 55,278.679 shares
- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 40,000 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 28,080.274 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 23,519.949 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x777d…5143` — 115,188.57 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 63,950.195 shares
- `0xb652…2db4` — 48,009.233 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 16,666.667 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 15,563.159 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T03:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T20:24:04.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -6.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-201pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5 — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T20:25:01.601Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-201pt5.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*