# Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 00:21:18 GMT. 24h change +52.4pp, 24h volume $337.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-203pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-203pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T00:21:18.061Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +52.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $337.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $339.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $337.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Pistons combine to score 204 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 204, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc30c…6509` — 45,000 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 15,563.991 shares
- `0x3298…b714` — 10,000 shares
- `0xb44e…c2c6` — 10,000 shares
- `0x255a…3435` — 8,092 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 39,796.789 shares
- `0xf28e…cab2` — 27,346.68 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 13,647.329 shares
- `0x661d…4dc6` — 9,092.657 shares
- `0xbc5b…3f6a` — 6,051.07 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T03:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T00:20:04.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +51.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-203pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5 — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T00:21:18.061Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-orl-det-2026-05-03-total-203pt5.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*