# Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 23:54:14 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $689.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-6pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-6pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T23:54:14.506Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | -11.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $689.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $689.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $6.8K |
| Spread | 13.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 7:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 7 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbddf…c684` — 244,999.98 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 162,706.836 shares
- `0xc807…c12b` — 134,999.975 shares
- `0x3a6c…236d` — 20,499.957 shares
- `0xcf11…8399` — 6,350 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 395,650.26 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 51,681.903 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 51,342.618 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 28,776 shares
- `0x5e30…acbf` — 14,510.183 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 3 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T21:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T23:00:08.000Z |
| Range | 43¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -10.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-6pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Celtics (-6.5) — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T23:54:14.506Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-6pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*