# Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:06:23 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $378.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-7pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-7pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:06:23.200Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | +3.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $378.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $405.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $264.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 8 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 73%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +3.0pp vs. 24h -3.0pp.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 175,541.386 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 30,462.119 shares
- `0x7234…1d85` — 11,507.891 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 9,690.268 shares
- `0x2061…8ec9` — 6,665.963 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xac25…433f` — 67,819.434 shares
- `0x32cc…68b3` — 42,835.983 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 30,000 shares
- `0xddd5…ec9e` — 23,478 shares
- `0x533c…2658` — 13,600.003 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 42 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T04:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-7pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Celtics (-7.5) — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:06:23.200Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02-spread-home-7pt5.
```

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