# 76ers vs. Celtics

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:04:28 GMT. 24h change +4.0pp, 24h volume $2.6M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:04:28.494Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $2.6M |
| Lifetime volume | $2.9M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $479.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 2, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".
> If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m ago | `Ragged-Toothpick-Cassava` | BUY | 76ERS | $1.60 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 426,817.411 shares
- `0x9f2f…2ca8` — 400,026.196 shares
- `0xac25…433f` — 241,741.974 shares
- `0xc8ec…e8f1` — 132,513.392 shares
- `0x8516…93a0` — 80,745.329 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4bff…fc26` — 366,887.331 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 163,999.362 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 131,581.002 shares
- `0x52f5…5e8a` — 99,999.933 shares
- `0x3b4a…8060` — 89,999.954 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 161 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T05:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:03:08.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 61¢ |
| Net change | -19.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "76ers vs. Celtics — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:04:28.494Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-bos-2026-05-02.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*