# Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 91% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 01:31:51 GMT. 24h change +40.0pp, 24h volume $1.6M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04-spread-home-7pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04-spread-home-7pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T01:31:51.149Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **91¢** (91%) |
| Δ 1h | +40.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +40.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $1.6M |
| Lifetime volume | $1.6M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $58.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 40.0pp in 24h with 27.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4924…3782` — 481,209.89 shares
- `0x6211…b89e` — 291,094.95 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 181,277.728 shares
- `0xdb85…152f` — 118,409.62 shares
- `0xac25…433f` — 100,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 316,208.778 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 300,458.39 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 162,197.087 shares
- `0xb652…2db4` — 69,999.944 shares
- `0x1420…9daa` — 58,599.99 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 45 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T06:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T01:31:03.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 90¢ |
| Net change | +41.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04-spread-home-7pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-7.5) — 91% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T01:31:51.149Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04-spread-home-7pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*