# 76ers vs. Knicks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 30% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 05:27:24 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $216.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T05:27:24.616Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **30¢** (30%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $216.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $234.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $470.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".
> If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 19h.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11s ago | `Agitated-Bricklaying` | BUY | KNICKS | $149.31 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x85f0…3f67` — 99,999.865 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 29,999.147 shares
- `0x94d4…d869` — 8,680.628 shares
- `0xd052…19f3` — 6,699.833 shares
- `0x90ba…63f3` — 4,150 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 87,322.88 shares
- `0x84db…aeeb` — 15,347.433 shares
- `0x635c…45c6` — 14,084.507 shares
- `0x6bb3…758e` — 6,886.433 shares
- `0x8180…f4da` — 6,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T05:25:04.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 30¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "76ers vs. Knicks — 30% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T05:27:24.616Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*