# Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 01:58:12 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $340.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-10pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-10pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T01:58:12.462Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -23.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $340.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $340.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $812.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 7:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 11 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 130,750.79 shares
- `0xb652…2db4` — 29,204.72 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 11,087.56 shares
- `0x2cce…6e85` — 10,012.283 shares
- `0x32ed…f960` — 8,713.37 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xabb8…bba3` — 50,000 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 20,000 shares
- `0x3e2f…aaf8` — 17,500 shares
- `0x160d…5295` — 15,000 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 13,032 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 8 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T18:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T01:00:06.000Z |
| Range | 25¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -24.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-10pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-10.5) — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T01:58:12.462Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-10pt5.
```

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