# Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 56% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 14:29:04 GMT. 24h change +3.0pp, 24h volume $212.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-6pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-6pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T14:29:04.736Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **56¢** (56%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $212.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $213.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $562.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 7:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 7 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 50%): Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 9h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 132,482.87 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 20,436.829 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 18,867.925 shares
- `0x163e…dc5b` — 11,178.77 shares
- `0x8cfe…0df5` — 3,432.849 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84db…aeeb` — 133,714.199 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 15,565 shares
- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 14,999.988 shares
- `0xc1b3…501c` — 10,000 shares
- `0xe0db…f44e` — 6,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 36 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T04:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T14:28:06.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | +3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-6pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-6.5) — 56% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T14:29:04.736Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-6pt5.
```

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