# Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 62% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 19:03:38 GMT. 24h change +13.5pp, 24h volume $341.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-7pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-7pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T19:03:38.803Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **62¢** (62%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +13.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $341.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $343.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $701.5K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 7:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 76%): Probability moved up 13.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb6d6…be17` — 82,251.822 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 36,492.943 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 31,760.24 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 27,629.126 shares
- `0xf668…5c69` — 26,000.33 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1117…3532` — 59,999.928 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 39,620.486 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 35,000 shares
- `0xa080…234f` — 20,000 shares
- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 14,999.89 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T04:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T19:03:09.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | +13.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-7pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-7.5) — 62% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T19:03:38.803Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-spread-home-7pt5.
```

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