# 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 45% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 20:29:39 GMT. 24h change -4.0pp, 24h volume $188.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-total-215pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-total-215pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T20:29:39.319Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **45¢** (45%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $188.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $188.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $73.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 7:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the 76ers and Knicks combine to score 216 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 216, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 74%): Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 2.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 60,000 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 39,999.9 shares
- `0x2579…9d48` — 10,657.692 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 7,802.62 shares
- `0xe3dc…eaa8` — 6,616.327 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa2cc…0cbc` — 45,515.29 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 17,867.594 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 10,000 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 9,350.159 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 8,039.994 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T05:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T20:27:08.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -4.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-total-215pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 — 45% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T20:29:39.319Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-06-total-215pt5.
```

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