# NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics 

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 62% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 01:59:45 GMT. 24h change +33.4pp, 24h volume $340.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-playoffs-who-will-win-series-76ers-vs-celtics
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-playoffs-who-will-win-series-76ers-vs-celtics
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T01:59:45.116Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **62¢** (62%) |
| Δ 1h | +5.8pp |
| Δ 24h | +33.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +56.0pp |
| 24h volume | $340.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $534.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $4.7K |
| Spread | 8.40pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “76ers” if the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics. This market will resolve to “Celtics” if the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics.
> 
> If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Expires in 22h. Spread is extremely wide.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4m ago | `High-Level-Mark-Laughter` | BUY | 76ERS | $9.99 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x033f…618e` — 232,333.83 shares
- `0xe72b…b0a0` — 28,735.005 shares
- `0xab1c…aadd` — 11,693.958 shares
- `0xc44d…935c` — 8,340.866 shares
- `0xb3cf…0ebd` — 7,921.881 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 249,999.973 shares
- `0x9106…afcb` — 28,747.2 shares
- `0x4900…4a72` — 27,678.423 shares
- `0x19f0…84f8` — 9,372.851 shares
- `0xa2cc…0cbc` — 6,390.67 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T02:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T01:59:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 99¢ |
| Net change | +93.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-playoffs-who-will-win-series-76ers-vs-celtics` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics  — 62% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T01:59:45.116Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-playoffs-who-will-win-series-76ers-vs-celtics.
```

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