# Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 95% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 04:16:38 GMT. 24h change +44.4pp, 24h volume $903.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08-total-216pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08-total-216pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T04:16:38.866Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **95¢** (95%) |
| Δ 1h | +69.3pp |
| Δ 24h | +44.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $903.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $907.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $30.2K |
| Spread | 2.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 8 at 9:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Spurs and Timberwolves combine to score 217 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 217, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 44.4pp in 24h with 30.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5b4e…0232` — 210,146.806 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 62,318.514 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 51,786.307 shares
- `0x72d8…5213` — 26,700.03 shares
- `0xe0a2…40d5` — 24,004 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb45a…192c` — 200,000 shares
- `0xce9d…f402` — 152,111.769 shares
- `0xb652…2db4` — 75,080.78 shares
- `0x3a51…b2b6` — 16,932.562 shares
- `0x255a…3435` — 15,770.96 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T02:59:05.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -21.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-min-2026-05-08-total-216pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 — 95% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T04:16:38.866Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08-total-216pt5.
```

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