# Spurs vs. Timberwolves

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 63% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 13:04:44 GMT. 24h change +2.0pp, 24h volume $232.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 8, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T13:04:44.887Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **63¢** (63%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $232.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $243.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $170.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 8, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 8 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 15h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9ac2…be3d` — 164,252.499 shares
- `0x8180…f4da` — 5,828.01 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 4,671.8 shares
- `0xc809…a5d9` — 2,046.99 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 1,308.175 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 67,342.138 shares
- `0x0a24…4a1f` — 20,421.108 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 19,126.705 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 13,000 shares
- `0x6d3c…d294` — 11,705.017 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 130 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T13:03:09.000Z |
| Range | 57¢ → 77¢ |
| Net change | -7.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-min-2026-05-08` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Timberwolves — 63% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T13:04:44.887Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-08.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*