# Spurs vs. Timberwolves

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 64% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 07:20:22 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $158.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-min-2026-05-10
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T07:20:22.809Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **64¢** (64%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $158.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $184.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.3M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 10 at 7:30PM ET:
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 16h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 39,999.894 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 18,793.083 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 14,999.645 shares
- `0xe0e8…ec60` — 8,799.973 shares
- `0xf1ef…8cd6` — 6,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 31,695.124 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 15,190.93 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 14,423.78 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 12,344 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 7,569.798 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 148 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T07:20:18.000Z |
| Range | 44¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | +13.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-min-2026-05-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Timberwolves — 64% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T07:20:22.809Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-10.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*