# Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 04:05:15 GMT. 24h change +48.4pp, 24h volume $378.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15-total-218pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15-total-218pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T04:05:15.373Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +2.9pp |
| Δ 24h | +48.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $378.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $394.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $257.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Spurs and Timberwolves combine to score 219 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 219, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 88%): Probability moved up 48.4pp in 24h with 1.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5b4e…0232` — 61,402.71 shares
- `0xf28e…cab2` — 32,310.43 shares
- `0xbc5b…3f6a` — 25,000 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 23,217 shares
- `0xc408…c1ef` — 21,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2d7b…e2ce` — 186,957.12 shares
- `0xa080…234f` — 50,000 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 7,656 shares
- `0x4842…4024` — 7,482 shares
- `0x1a66…ae5e` — 7,142.857 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 73 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T04:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T04:05:08.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-min-2026-05-15-total-218pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T04:05:15.373Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15-total-218pt5.
```

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