# Spurs vs. Timberwolves

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 65% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 06:45:41 GMT. 24h change +1.5pp, 24h volume $891.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T06:45:41.034Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **65¢** (65%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $891.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $892.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $160.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 45h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6211…b89e` — 801,599.394 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 23,083.159 shares
- `0x1b47…d814` — 4,019.79 shares
- `0x76b4…ca9b` — 2,999.989 shares
- `0x84b8…1193` — 2,999.77 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 790,685.755 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 44,620.937 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 6,659 shares
- `0x6871…e9dc` — 549.955 shares
- `0xbfed…2489` — 500 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 95 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T09:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T06:44:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | +14.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-min-2026-05-15` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Timberwolves — 65% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T06:45:41.034Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-min-2026-05-15.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*