# Spurs vs. Thunder

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 33% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:49:05 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $2.1M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-20
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-20
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:49:05.853Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **33¢** (33%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $2.1M |
| Lifetime volume | $3.1M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.4M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 20 at 8:30PM ET:
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8628…6f0b` — 839,150.788 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 400,000 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 230,591.88 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 173,609.233 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 119,999.726 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfea3…d227` — 1,089,983.878 shares
- `0x4900…4a72` — 220,457.98 shares
- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 149,998.592 shares
- `0xb915…8da5` — 140,000 shares
- `0x52f5…5e8a` — 129,828.03 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 102 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T12:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T16:57:05.000Z |
| Range | 32¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -17.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-okc-2026-05-20` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Thunder — 33% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:49:05.853Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-20.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*