# Spurs vs. Thunder

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 43% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 18:30:24 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $789.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-30
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-30
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T18:30:24.197Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **43¢** (43%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $789.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $810.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.7M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 30 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 29h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2cff…59db` — 414,569.468 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 101,636.396 shares
- `0xf41a…b386` — 34,243.86 shares
- `0x8c8c…c7b4` — 24,840.64 shares
- `0x1610…ae49` — 24,293.227 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 213,681.567 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 114,998.451 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 75,999.977 shares
- `0x5523…51e9` — 43,999.766 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 20,880 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 134 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T18:29:03.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -7.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-sas-okc-2026-05-30` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spurs vs. Thunder — 43% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T18:30:24.197Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-sas-okc-2026-05-30.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*