# Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 02:38:49 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $169.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-209pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-209pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T02:38:49.462Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +68.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $169.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $169.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $389.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 7:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Raptors and Cavaliers combine to score 210 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 210, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 50,274.469 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 33,412.163 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 9,422 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 7,500 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 4,726 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x777d…5143` — 60,462.39 shares
- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 59,999.735 shares
- `0x86fb…03d4` — 9,615.385 shares
- `0x842a…7422` — 4,293.932 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 2,457.876 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 4 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T01:23:04.000Z |
| Range | 19¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -31.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-209pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5 — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T02:38:49.462Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-209pt5.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*