# Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 30% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 01:50:07 GMT. 24h change -22.0pp, 24h volume $362.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-210pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-210pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T01:50:07.999Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **30¢** (30%) |
| Δ 1h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -22.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $362.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $363.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $9.9K |
| Spread | 17.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Raptors and Cavaliers combine to score 211 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 211, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x54d2…ac37` — 129,999.747 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 78,369.512 shares
- `0xfbf3…b218` — 17,039.404 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 10,000 shares
- `0x23c8…f293` — 9,797.03 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0767…36b0` — 68,169.647 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 66,795.803 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 40,865 shares
- `0xb652…2db4` — 32,722.523 shares
- `0x639c…31e2` — 15,685.551 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 46 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T05:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T01:48:03.000Z |
| Range | 35¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -14.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-210pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 — 30% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T01:50:07.999Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-tor-cle-2026-05-03-total-210pt5.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*