# Ducks vs. Golden Knights

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 42% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 01:57:34 GMT. 24h change +2.0pp, 24h volume $262.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T01:57:34.497Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **42¢** (42%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $262.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $274.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $41.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 6 at 9:30PM ET:
> If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 61,000 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 14,999.533 shares
- `0x3e04…564d` — 14,339.917 shares
- `0x7a88…41cc` — 13,768.41 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 11,904.762 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 115,371.046 shares
- `0xeb8e…34ce` — 19,999.92 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 16,393.443 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 12,536.96 shares
- `0x5116…58c4` — 7,795.99 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 83 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T16:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T01:57:08.000Z |
| Range | 22¢ → 42¢ |
| Net change | +19.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-ana-las-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Ducks vs. Golden Knights — 42% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T01:57:34.497Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*