# Ducks vs. Golden Knights

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 20:02:22 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $243.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-12
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-12
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T20:02:22.238Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $243.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $250.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $305.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 12 at 9:30PM ET:
> If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 5h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 75,000 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 36,774.99 shares
- `0x3e04…564d` — 32,603.719 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 30,000 shares
- `0x56f3…bf55` — 5,100 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc807…c12b` — 150,000 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 34,435.581 shares
- `0xa574…5f84` — 4,236.023 shares
- `0x07aa…deb1` — 2,500 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 2,343.358 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 102 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T20:02:05.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -10.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-ana-las-2026-05-12` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Ducks vs. Golden Knights — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T20:02:22.238Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-ana-las-2026-05-12.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*