# Sabres vs. Canadiens

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 8% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 01:31:12 GMT. 24h change -39.0pp, 24h volume $680.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-10
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T01:31:12.988Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **8¢** (8%) |
| Δ 1h | -20.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -39.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $680.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $700.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $43.3K |
| Spread | 0.80pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 10 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 39.0pp in 24h with 15.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1117…3532` — 119,999.501 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 52,133.037 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 30,888.482 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 21,394.958 shares
- `0x5d1d…afd2` — 20,182.326 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 129,395.236 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 40,964.436 shares
- `0x4608…d049` — 20,000 shares
- `0xf5e1…5ad0` — 19,287.905 shares
- `0x6bb3…758e` — 15,929.02 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 155 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T01:30:04.000Z |
| Range | 8¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -41.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Sabres vs. Canadiens — 8% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T01:31:12.988Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-10.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*