# Sabres vs. Canadiens

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 18:02:42 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $353.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-16
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-16
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T18:02:42.711Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $353.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $403.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $432.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 16 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 6h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 99,999.737 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 79,900.64 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 29,999.963 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 20,764.528 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 12,820.51 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc807…c12b` — 122,551.77 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 61,775.79 shares
- `0x6165…db3c` — 33,333.333 shares
- `0xccf6…1681` — 28,624.9 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 15,112.924 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 75 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T16:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T18:01:04.000Z |
| Range | 25¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | +14.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-16` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Sabres vs. Canadiens — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T18:02:42.711Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-buf-mon-2026-05-16.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*