# Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 59% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 23:58:44 GMT. 24h change +3.0pp, 24h volume $951.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-25
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-25
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T23:58:44.792Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **59¢** (59%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $951.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $982.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $975.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 58%): Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 1.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4924…3782` — 587,175.761 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 25,980.205 shares
- `0x4337…8882` — 18,887.842 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 18,682.242 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 16,850.247 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb45a…192c` — 300,000 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 119,998.856 shares
- `0x558f…1a56` — 34,482.76 shares
- `0xc660…bd28` — 32,379.052 shares
- `0xa9c5…1d81` — 23,639.66 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 153 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T23:16:03.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | +8.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-car-mon-2026-05-25` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Hurricanes vs. Canadiens — 59% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T23:58:44.792Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-25.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*