# Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 59% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 23:16:07 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $1.3M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T23:16:07.098Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **59¢** (59%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -4.5pp |
| 24h volume | $1.3M |
| Lifetime volume | $1.4M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $830.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 27 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 1h.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 23:12 UTC | `Dramatic-Sardine` | BUY | HURRICANES | $60.00 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4924…3782` — 630,492.42 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 146,686.538 shares
- `0x72d8…5213` — 130,300 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 129,998.818 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 49,999.951 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 499,998.406 shares
- `0x4bff…fc26` — 400,169.728 shares
- `0x88a1…ad45` — 49,999.902 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 49,000 shares
- `0xa0f2…1848` — 48,137 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T06:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T05:17:03.000Z |
| Range | 54¢ → 63¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-car-mon-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Hurricanes vs. Canadiens — 59% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T23:16:07.098Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-mon-2026-05-27.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*