# Hurricanes vs. Flyers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 46% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 23:00:36 GMT. 24h change -18.0pp, 24h volume $478.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-phi-2026-05-09
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-car-phi-2026-05-09
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T23:00:36.971Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **46¢** (46%) |
| Δ 1h | -19.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -18.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $478.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $500.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $66.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 9 at 6:00PM ET:
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 18.0pp in 24h with 7.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa710…23c4` — 166,614.3 shares
- `0x8a6c…0b3f` — 31,878.358 shares
- `0x47a8…52f9` — 27,634.3 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 21,643.79 shares
- `0xeb8e…34ce` — 19,999.641 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb45a…192c` — 100,000 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 59,303.247 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 32,298.871 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 29,000 shares
- `0x1925…4654` — 26,154.42 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 151 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T22:00:13.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 66¢ |
| Net change | +14.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-car-phi-2026-05-09` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Hurricanes vs. Flyers — 46% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T23:00:36.971Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-car-phi-2026-05-09.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*