# Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 57% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 12:27:54 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $2.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-las-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-col-las-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T12:27:54.535Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **57¢** (57%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $2.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $6.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 24 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 12h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbd14…d62a` — 94,716.895 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 70,175.439 shares
- `0xa710…23c4` — 16,541.02 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,876.483 shares
- `0x5d1d…afd2` — 8,620.69 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 99,999.898 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 39,999.859 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 9,999.775 shares
- `0x6d3c…d294` — 7,423.206 shares
- `0xe0db…f44e` — 5,999.998 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-17T13:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T12:27:04.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-col-las-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Avalanche vs. Golden Knights — 57% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T12:27:54.535Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-las-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*