# Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 51% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 09:36:59 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $228.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-las-2026-05-26
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-col-las-2026-05-26
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T09:36:59.386Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **51¢** (51%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $228.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $238.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $230.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 26 at 9:00PM ET:
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 15h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbd14…d62a` — 96,153.846 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 67,307.692 shares
- `0x7187…f08b` — 5,664.302 shares
- `0xbad2…5296` — 4,443.927 shares
- `0xdaef…54e9` — 3,999.957 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 157,429.975 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 8,929.65 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 3,618.141 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 2,796.458 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 2,668.19 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 139 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T16:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T09:36:04.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 75¢ |
| Net change | +0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-col-las-2026-05-26` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Avalanche vs. Golden Knights — 51% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T09:36:59.386Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-las-2026-05-26.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*