# Avalanche vs. Wild

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 04:23:10 GMT. 24h change -55.5pp, 24h volume $443.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-min-2026-05-09
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-col-min-2026-05-09
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T04:23:10.084Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.3pp |
| Δ 24h | -55.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $443.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $484.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $530.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 9 at 9:00PM ET:
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 80%): Probability moved down 55.5pp in 24h with 0.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 70%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 45,500 shares
- `0x4bff…fc26` — 45,418.377 shares
- `0xeb8e…34ce` — 29,999.199 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 17,857.143 shares
- `0xb45a…192c` — 17,439.45 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8f8c…e275` — 62,749.9 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 40,700 shares
- `0xc660…bd28` — 33,300 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 11,411.724 shares
- `0x55b6…09e2` — 10,449.997 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T16:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T04:21:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 61¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-col-min-2026-05-09` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Avalanche vs. Wild — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T04:23:10.084Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-col-min-2026-05-09.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*