# Golden Knights vs. Ducks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 04:15:20 GMT. 24h change +49.5pp, 24h volume $709.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-08
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-08
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T04:15:20.383Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.8pp |
| Δ 24h | +49.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $709.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $745.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $215.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 8 at 9:30PM ET:
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 49.5pp in 24h with 3.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6a72…33ee` — 173,301.413 shares
- `0xf653…8be5` — 45,274.19 shares
- `0x842a…7422` — 29,188.86 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 20,065.846 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 19,959.422 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 165,000 shares
- `0xeb8e…34ce` — 49,999.784 shares
- `0xb6ff…3535` — 20,219.42 shares
- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 15,073.512 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 11,246.907 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 134 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T16:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T04:14:05.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-las-ana-2026-05-08` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Golden Knights vs. Ducks — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T04:15:20.383Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-08.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*