# Golden Knights vs. Ducks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 48% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 01:32:35 GMT. 24h change -4.0pp, 24h volume $327.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-10
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T01:32:35.142Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **48¢** (48%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -2.0pp |
| 24h volume | $327.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $332.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $254.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 10 at 9:30PM ET:
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 65%): Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xabb8…bba3` — 131,831.72 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 20,408.163 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 11,918.684 shares
- `0xef50…e3bd` — 10,959.184 shares
- `0x2061…8ec9` — 7,777 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 42,402.92 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 32,134.01 shares
- `0xd696…8a49` — 23,307.59 shares
- `0x8f03…64d6` — 22,000 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 17,208.878 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T02:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T01:19:04.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-las-ana-2026-05-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Golden Knights vs. Ducks — 48% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T01:32:35.142Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-10.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*