# Golden Knights vs. Ducks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 50% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 00:21:30 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $239.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T00:21:30.097Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **50¢** (50%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $239.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $242.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $455.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 14 at 9:30PM ET:
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe405…c67e` — 15,000 shares
- `0xa7df…5eee` — 12,000 shares
- `0xfb68…a240` — 12,000 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 11,952.99 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 11,887.47 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 53,569.416 shares
- `0x6ade…f5b0` — 40,609.12 shares
- `0x6815…9edb` — 19,599.98 shares
- `0xc788…8545` — 9,800 shares
- `0x56f3…bf55` — 7,142.857 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 82 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T00:20:06.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 75¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-las-ana-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Golden Knights vs. Ducks — 50% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T00:21:30.097Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-ana-2026-05-14.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*