# Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:49:05 GMT. 24h change +3.0pp, 24h volume $479.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-col-2026-05-20
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-las-col-2026-05-20
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:49:05.872Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $479.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $625.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $713.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 20 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 210,143.193 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 52,455.601 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 37,586.422 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 28,765.037 shares
- `0x6815…9edb` — 25,163.308 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 75,221.431 shares
- `0x1467…4372` — 32,000 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 30,769.231 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 29,999.992 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 15,625 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 125 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T17:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:31:04.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 40¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-las-col-2026-05-20` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Golden Knights vs. Avalanche — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:49:05.872Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-las-col-2026-05-20.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*