# Wild vs. Avalanche

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 22:13:23 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $184.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-min-col-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T22:13:23.667Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $184.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $189.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $600.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 3 at 9:00PM ET:
> If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdd92…6b2a` — 79,999.851 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 24,573.212 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 14,999.945 shares
- `0x1f24…05ef` — 9,999.896 shares
- `0xf5e1…5ad0` — 5,554.958 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 87,529.268 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 15,511.036 shares
- `0x6815…9edb` — 15,384.615 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 13,742.28 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 8,678.906 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 32 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T22:13:16.000Z |
| Range | 36¢ → 39¢ |
| Net change | -3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-min-col-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Wild vs. Avalanche — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T22:13:23.667Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*