# Wild vs. Avalanche

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 23:11:27 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $171.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-min-col-2026-05-05
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T23:11:27.377Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $171.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $187.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $694.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 5 at 9:00PM ET:
> If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 70,000 shares
- `0x5bec…b215` — 44,346.986 shares
- `0x021c…232f` — 7,000 shares
- `0x425f…5493` — 4,166.667 shares
- `0x6195…b9e3` — 4,001 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa710…23c4` — 68,726.677 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 23,102.771 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 14,999.897 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 11,370.93 shares
- `0x00ff…f7ad` — 5,499.876 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 81 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T23:10:05.000Z |
| Range | 24¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -15.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-min-col-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Wild vs. Avalanche — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T23:11:27.377Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-05.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*