# Wild vs. Avalanche

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 82% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 01:07:35 GMT. 24h change +47.0pp, 24h volume $614.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-min-col-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T01:07:35.530Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **82¢** (82%) |
| Δ 1h | +48.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +47.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $614.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $677.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $263.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 13 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".
> If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 47.0pp in 24h with 2.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 01:06 UTC | `Happy-Go-Lucky-Min` | BUY | WILD | $18.86 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 52,291.322 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 45,300.603 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 39,999.474 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 32,605.999 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 24,598.579 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 78,178.605 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 75,484.49 shares
- `0x4c0a…a9be` — 57,999.966 shares
- `0xe1a2…14b8` — 35,000 shares
- `0x3e04…564d` — 11,075.384 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 83 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T01:07:05.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 82¢ |
| Net change | +31.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-min-col-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Wild vs. Avalanche — 82% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T01:07:35.530Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-min-col-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*