# Canadiens vs. Sabres

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 45% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 22:51:56 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $317.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T22:51:56.675Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **45¢** (45%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $317.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $338.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $443.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 6 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 116,342.889 shares
- `0x3b5c…126e` — 40,999.833 shares
- `0x3e04…564d` — 32,656.624 shares
- `0x92b5…fec6` — 30,432.935 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 20,741.923 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 67,961.33 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 63,826.616 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 39,999.628 shares
- `0x1467…4372` — 35,804.764 shares
- `0xdd92…6b2a` — 14,999.768 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 56 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T16:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T22:50:03.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Canadiens vs. Sabres — 45% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T22:51:56.675Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*