# Canadiens vs. Sabres

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 22:20:22 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $273.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T22:20:22.604Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $273.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $277.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $511.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 14 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1925…4654` — 93,113.188 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 20,408.163 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 14,999.912 shares
- `0x92b5…fec6` — 11,224.49 shares
- `0xf5e1…5ad0` — 11,109.955 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 91,491.02 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 19,999.936 shares
- `0x6d3c…d294` — 12,184.33 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 9,999.714 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 9,615.385 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 80 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T16:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T22:18:17.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Canadiens vs. Sabres — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T22:20:22.604Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-buf-2026-05-14.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*