# Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 11:58:41 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $239.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T11:58:41.233Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $239.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $255.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $807.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 21 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 55%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.0pp.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 12h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 50,497.35 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 39,999.788 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 15,000 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,499.912 shares
- `0x6677…799b` — 9,066.649 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 35,637.918 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 30,724.781 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 30,536.131 shares
- `0xbf2c…097c` — 24,808.37 shares
- `0xf49c…9786` — 15,500 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 45 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T16:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T11:47:07.000Z |
| Range | 35¢ → 37¢ |
| Net change | +0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-mon-car-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T11:58:41.233Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-21.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*