# Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 34% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 06:44:06 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $213.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-23
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-23
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T06:44:06.823Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **34¢** (34%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $213.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $238.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $473.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 23 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 16h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xaa07…2125` — 25,000 shares
- `0x07aa…deb1` — 11,991.35 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 11,629.54 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 10,000 shares
- `0x3e04…564d` — 9,999.823 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3625…1187` — 60,606.061 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 60,020.866 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,499.859 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 11,500 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 3,946.85 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 88 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T16:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T06:43:05.000Z |
| Range | 25¢ → 44¢ |
| Net change | +8.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-mon-car-2026-05-23` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes — 34% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T06:44:06.823Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-23.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*
