# Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 31% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 22:12:31 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $248.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-29
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-29
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T22:12:31.396Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **31¢** (31%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $248.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $284.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.1M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 29 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 2h.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 22:12 UTC | `Sizzling-Pulley` | BUY | HURRICANES | $4.89 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x47a8…52f9` — 98,224.351 shares
- `0x9c95…ed41` — 21,499.828 shares
- `0x8f3c…2f57` — 15,342.04 shares
- `0x6185…2965` — 14,399.927 shares
- `0xad6a…9dbd` — 12,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x03e8…1697` — 102,392.837 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 98,508.16 shares
- `0x127c…7456` — 29,656.743 shares
- `0x1365…c82a` — 27,447.18 shares
- `0xdfa6…6c6c` — 12,951 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 126 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T21:04:04.000Z |
| Range | 29¢ → 46¢ |
| Net change | -5.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-mon-car-2026-05-29` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes — 31% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T22:12:31.396Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-mon-car-2026-05-29.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*