# Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 94% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 02:00:12 GMT. 24h change +51.5pp, 24h volume $502.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02-spread-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02-spread-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T02:00:12.060Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **94¢** (94%) |
| Δ 1h | +13.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +51.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $502.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $502.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $14.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 2 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hurricanes" if the Hurricanes win the game by 2 or more goals.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Flyers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4924…3782` — 352,335.1 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 23,617.128 shares
- `0xc807…c12b` — 20,000 shares
- `0xd100…853d` — 15,655.147 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 11,531 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 200,000 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 137,371.109 shares
- `0xdd92…6b2a` — 50,049.996 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 45,526 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 19,452.86 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 35 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T02:00:05.000Z |
| Range | 42¢ → 93¢ |
| Net change | +43.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02-spread-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) — 94% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T02:00:12.060Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02-spread-home-1pt5.
```

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