# Flyers vs. Hurricanes

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 2% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 01:56:25 GMT. 24h change -32.4pp, 24h volume $971.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T01:56:25.209Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **2¢** (2%) |
| Δ 1h | -6.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -32.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $971.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $971.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $22.2K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 2 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers".
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 368,848.764 shares
- `0xb45a…192c` — 249,999.895 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 60,000 shares
- `0xdd92…6b2a` — 40,000 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 29,999.912 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 259,962.21 shares
- `0x4924…3782` — 235,029.04 shares
- `0xa710…23c4` — 90,569.41 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 40,613.778 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 32,681.103 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 34 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T01:56:05.000Z |
| Range | 2¢ → 35¢ |
| Net change | -32.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Flyers vs. Hurricanes — 2% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T01:56:25.209Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-02.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*