# Flyers vs. Hurricanes

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 69% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 01:29:13 GMT. 24h change +37.0pp, 24h volume $508.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-04
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T01:29:13.683Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **69¢** (69%) |
| Δ 1h | +12.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +37.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $508.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $509.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nhl.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 4 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers".
> If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 37.0pp in 24h with 10.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5bec…b215` — 149,419.616 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 59,065.863 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 19,999.966 shares
- `0x03e8…1697` — 18,777.396 shares
- `0x7430…3af2` — 11,499.982 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 56,012.48 shares
- `0x47a8…52f9` — 43,000 shares
- `0x1365…c82a` — 14,285.47 shares
- `0xaa07…2125` — 12,396.34 shares
- `0xe1a2…14b8` — 12,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 35 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T01:27:19.000Z |
| Range | 30¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | +10.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nhl-phi-car-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Flyers vs. Hurricanes — 69% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T01:29:13.683Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-phi-car-2026-05-04.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*