# QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:08:33 GMT. 24h change +3.8pp, 24h volume $4.0M.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/qatarenergy-announcesresumes-lng-production-in-qatar-by-april-30
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/qatarenergy-announcesresumes-lng-production-in-qatar-by-april-30
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** Apr 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:08:33.500Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +3.8pp |
| Δ 1w | +94.2pp |
| 24h volume | $4.0M |
| Lifetime volume | $4.4M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.4M |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `disputed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Apr 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `disputed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
> 
> This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
> 
> An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0e5b…a593` — 403,299.993 shares
- `0x44c1…ebc1` — 400,000 shares
- `0xc8ab…6418` — 305,346.673 shares
- `0x9c26…74bc` — 300,000 shares
- `0x5812…95b5` — 283,999.432 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5e71…ba82` — 1,305,672.759 shares
- `0x584c…d09e` — 531,286.434 shares
- `0xc2c4…0734` — 337,702.447 shares
- `0x29ab…a640` — 200,000 shares
- `0xed33…d9be` — 198,080.692 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-25T22:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:08:04.000Z |
| Range | 2¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +94.7pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=qatarenergy-announcesresumes-lng-production-in-qatar-by-april-30` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:08:33.500Z from https://orrery.me/markets/qatarenergy-announcesresumes-lng-production-in-qatar-by-april-30.
```

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