# Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 15:45:47 GMT. 24h change -50.4pp, 24h volume $290.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/sea-par-sas-2026-05-24-total-2pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/sea-par-sas-2026-05-24-total-2pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T15:45:47.129Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -13.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -50.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $290.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $291.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $319.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.legaseriea.it/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming Serie A game between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Sassuolo Calcio, scheduled for May 24 at 9:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if Parma Calcio 1913 and US Sassuolo Calcio combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
> 
> If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved down 50.4pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc72d…fc21` — 149,114.16 shares
- `0xdb83…1e50` — 7,119.989 shares
- `0xee19…555e` — 6,124.141 shares
- `0xe5f0…dc1d` — 5,289.09 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 4,082.994 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x19e2…ce3c` — 50,000.16 shares
- `0xf3ce…8bc6` — 36,275.6 shares
- `0x0346…52a5` — 11,574.732 shares
- `0x5634…d81a` — 11,500 shares
- `0x7236…ea53` — 6,400 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 155 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T06:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T15:21:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -52.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=sea-par-sas-2026-05-24-total-2pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T15:45:47.129Z from https://orrery.me/markets/sea-par-sas-2026-05-24-total-2pt5.
```

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